Anything can happen day

Wednesday, for those who remember the Mickey Mouse Club or
Angel Heart, is “Anything Can Happen Day” and yesterday was no exception.

In just two hours there were three announcements that
radically re-shape the telco space. Not too shabby.

First off the ranks we have Orcon’s Genius Go product, which
sparks the beginning of the end of a $3bn a year industry.

Genius Go allows you to have your landline number on your
mobile phone (or tablet, I presume). The call is forwarded to your mobile over
VoIP so works best on wifi as opposed to 3G but means you can be out of the
house and get calls wherever you are. Anywhere. Even overseas. Your caller will
make a local call to your number and only pay for that call (free from a
residential number) not for the call to your mobile or for the international
bit.

This isn’t new as such, but Orcon certainly makes it very
easy and very cost effective. There’s no call forwarding charge, you don’t have
to pay a set monthly fee – if you’re an Orcon Genius customer it’s yours for
the taking. Best of all, it integrates with your mobile phone’s contact list so
you have the advantages of a mobile device (caller ID etc) without paying those
ridiculous fees associated with these basic services on a landline.

Voice is now just an app on the device and, as we roll into
the 4G world, that will increasingly become the norm. That little green
telephone icon you see on your phone will be replaced with … a little green
telephone icon but instead of paying a per minute charge, you’ll just use data
for the call. Orcon says a five minute call (most calls last less than five
minutes) will take up about 2MB of data. In short, you won’t care terribly
much.

So that’s voice calling. Not quite dead yet, but I bet in
five years’ time we’ll be looking back on it fondly (or similar).

Simultaneously, Slingshot rather cheekily launched Global
Mode
, a service aimed at US and UK “visitors” to New Zealand which will allow
them to access content “as they would have in their home country”.

That’s right, sign up for Global Mode and Slingshot will
fudge your DNS settings so it looks like you’re visiting websites from a US or
UK address, and so will allow “visitors” to view Hulu, Netflix and BBC iPlayer
content without those pesky geo-block problems.

It’s free for Slingshot customers.

I have no need of such a service as my aunt, who lives in
the UK, posts VHS tapes of the latest television shows to me on a regular
basis. Good on you, aunty.

Finally, but by no means least, Coliseum Sports Media
announced it has bought the rights to the English Premier League football (I’m
sorry, I can’t call it soccer) and will screen it online in New Zealand for
$149 a season. TVNZ will offer a highlights package on free to air TV, something which reminded Russell Brown of the history between TVNZ and Sky TV.

Finally, we have a real online-first content offering that
will provide a driver for UFB, something which has been sorely lacking until
now.

Yes, it’ll work on copper but in a world where I’m watching
one online event, my wife is doing something else and the kids are both on
their devices doing their homework (or similar) we will absolutely need fibre.

There’s not a lot of detail about the Coliseum offering – we
don’t know whether it will be streamed in high definition as default for
example – but two questions spring to mind.

First off, what about the 25% of New Zealand that will never
get a fibre connection? What are they supposed to do when the vast bulk of our
content is finally made available primarily online? Can you imagine the uproar
from rural New Zealand if and when the rugby bosses wake up to the revenue
opportunity and offer a similar package for every All Blacks game? It won’t
just be tractors on the steps of parliament I can tell you.

Secondly, the price is a bit wacky. Sure, it’s for a year
(and as I mentioned we don’t know the ins and outs of the deal – will you be
able to watch any game at any time, for instance) but if I want to buy
football, rugby, netball and Canadian ice hockey I’m looking at the thick end
of $1000 a year before we even get to TV and movies.

I had a look at Sky TV’s offerings to compare prices. To get
everything (all the channels except for the oddball “specialist channels”)
including two magazines and a My Sky + box and HD you’re looking at just over
$2230 a year. Yes, you get a lot more but that’s really the point of all this –
it might not be stuff you want or would ever chose to buy.

The future delivery mechanism for video content is online –
that goes without saying (although I do find I have to keep saying it). If the
content owners want us to buy TV shows or series, sporting events and movies,
they’re going to have to move to a model that lets us pick and choose from what’s
on offer and they’re going to have to adjust the pricing to match.

The upside is that shows with a following will do very well.
Top Gear, for example, has nearly 300m viewers a week. At a dollar a show I
suspect even Jeremy Clarkson would be happy. Get it down to that kind of price
point and the move to online will move from a trickle to a flood.

3 replies
  1. Paul W
    Paul W says:

    "So that’s voice calling. Not quite dead yet, but I bet in five years’ time we’ll be looking back on it fondly (or similar)."

    Do you know something about mental telepathy that we don’t 😉 Well done to Orcon for jumping in first with this..

    PS. It will always be Soccer with me..

  2. Bill Bennett
    Bill Bennett says:

    Ahem. Point of order m’lud.

    "free from a residential number".

    I prefer to say "no charge". My monthly line rental is $40+. I might make two or three local calls. Even if make ten that’s still $4 per call.

    • Paul Brislen
      Paul Brislen says:

      You’re quite right, however so many people tell me it’s "free local calling" that I have lost the will to live. If I offered my mobile provider an extra $50/month they’d give me a darn sight more than "free local calls" for it.

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