5G or what to expect in 2022

Every time a new G hits the cellular world, we get driven into yet another frenzy of cyclic upgrades, there’s new spectrum to be auctioned off, towers to upgrade and new devices to buy. 

So I was intrigued to read that the Chinese Government has already set out its 5G agenda and that China Mobile is already 2 years into its 5G development program.

So I headed off to Wikipedia and discovered that we’ve been getting a new G about once every decade and the next one is due somewhere around 2022 – 2023. Great so I now know that my future iPhone 12 will be pretty fast and I can start saving for it now.

How fast well its hard to say but 1gb/s looks likely, and hopefully battery life will have improved by then.

What this really illustrates is that we need to look critically at all the announcements and have some context to fit them into:

1.   Mobile is really important in China, their Government understands the need to have a 5G agenda and their carriers are already planning how to respond

2.  Mobile speeds are going to continue to blur the lines in our post-pc world, we really are heading into the ‘hypernet’

3.  Mobile networks are going to continue to be capital intensive and we may need to seriously rethink how a small country like NZ continues to enjoy world-class services (can we really support 3 competing 5G networks?)

If you want a fore taste of 5G you’ll probably get one in around 2016 or so when 1gb/s WiFi will start to become widespread, just in time go inside our UFB connected ‘GigaHomes’ but thats ok because Southern Cross, Hawaiki and the Trans Tasman cables will be running at up to 1tb/s (actually I just made that bit up).

The thing is though, there is a hierarchy of technologies that support all these networks and it starts with the fibre, then it goes to the ethernet switches, it moves onto WiFi and then gets rolled out in the cellular world.

And the speeds at the edge are the ones that really count, and that edge is now in our hands, our cars, our homes and on or in our bodies.

 

Cellular Biology

I want to return to a theme that emerged in my first week on the job here at TUANZ, and that is how utterly and completely handheld devices have changed the face of telecommunications, and that isn’t going to abate anytime soon. In fact we are just at the beginning of a revolution that will reshape how we live, work and play.

A cool thing about living in my temporary TUANZ cave in Porirua, is that a lot of information flows through everyday and a lot of it comes in the form of press releases or articles in the media announcing the latest developments, service upgrades, new products and cool emerging technologies and I’ve got to read them so you don’t have to.

Two that caught my attention were Vodafone’s trialling of ‘Smell Cell’ technology and 2Degrees launching free WiFi in Wellington using a wholesale WiFi offering from Wellington’s fibre and WiFi pioneers CityLink (disclosure: I helped CityLink launch CafeNet in 2002). 

This morning i was reading ‘Communications Day’ (an Australasian industry newsletter) with some fascinating comments by the chief scientist of China Mobile (the worlds largest cellco with over 800 million customers). She was recommending caution on proceeding too fast to 5G networks! (and I’m still getting to grips with the promise of 4G in my 3G world), the challenge she faces along with every other cellular operator worldwide is:

She also said that China Mobile was acutely aware of the need to reduce energy consumption and other costs to cope with an expected 1000x traffic load increase by year 2020. “One-quarter of our total cost of ownership is power consumption, so that’s how important being green is,” she noted. As well as research into lower energy consumption, she said China Mobile was looking into software defined network technologies with the aim of a software-based net- work from the core right through to the access network. 

And to put that scale into perspective:

China Mobile’s own growth is equally impressive, with its subscriber base now approaching 800 million. To cater to that number of customers, the company has around 1.5 million base stations and another 4.2 million Wi-Fi access points. 

Thats like having a mobile base station for every house in NZ and a WiFi AP each.

So every cellular operator in the world is facing the same challenges, coverage and capacity, expanding coverage usually means more towers and expanding capacity involves getting the most out of scarce spectrum and backhaul resources.

And thats where ‘Small Cells’ and carrier WiFi fits in, Small Cells are an elegant ‘in-fill’ solution for a cellular operator that doesn’t require new towers or consents, the 10kg box is part of the Vodafone network and can be installed in as little as a day. Small Cells will be used to fill-in gaps or boost coverage in all those annoying blackspots and ‘grey’ patchy coverage spots in places like office buildings and shopping malls.

Carrier WiFi recognises that sometimes the best network for heavy lifting on mobile devices is someone else’s, often this means our home or work WiFi networks, 2Degrees is using the CityLink WiFi network in Wellington to do the same, save your precious 3G network for the genuinely mobile and voice traffic and let the big stuff go over WiFi and straight to the fibre backhaul networks.

CityLink’s MD Nick Wills was recently at a ‘Small Cell and Carrier WiFi’ conference in Singapore and he observed that ‘most carriers build up to 1GB of data into their monthly 3G/4G plans, but with carrier WiFi and cellular handover they can offer an additional daily allowance of 1GB per day’.

CityLink’s carrier grade WiFi access points can handle up to 32 simultaneous SSID’s (unique network identifiers) and offer many other advantages for managing WiFi spectrum.

CommsDay had another article showing the growth in WiFi use in Australia:

Roy Morgan: free Wi-Fi turns Perth into

smartphone hotspot capital

The launch of free Wi-Fi across Perth’s CBD last November has catapulted the city into first place for smartphone Wi-Fi access, according to Roy Morgan Research.

The firm found that in the six months to September last year just 19% of smartphone users in Perth had accessed the internet via a wireless hotspot within an average three month period – com- pared to 28% in Brisbane, 24% in Sydney and Melbourne and 20% in Adelaide. But six months lat- er, it found that 29% of Perth’s smartphone users were now connecting at hotspots. Sydney, despite having the highest proportion of residents with a smartphone, now has the lowest rate of smartphone usage at just 23% of owners; the popularity of hotspots grew to 27% and 25% respectively in Mel- bourne and Adelaide.

“The iiNet Group, which includes iiNet and Internode, has partnered with city councils and state governments to develop and offer free Wi-Fi to residents, city workers and visitors, with ‘Perth Wi-Fi’ launching late last year and ‘AdelaideFree’ coming online very soon,” commented Roy Morgan media GM Tim Martin.

“Other cities are catching on, with Melbourne broadening its trial, Brisbane adding new hotspot locations and iiNet continuing its roll-out with the development of free Wi-Fi in Canberra.

“Telstra recently announced plans to offer a unique Wi-Fi hotpot service that is free to its subscribing customers who are willing to share their home Wi-Fi, and available for a fee to other 

Telecom are well advanced with their hotspot strategy here and we’ll see a lot more developments in this space, would you share your home WiFi willingly with others? And how does this blur the line between RSP’s (ie fixed line telco’s & ISP’s) and the cellco’s?

What all this means is that our mobile devices are going to be even more useful in even more places, we will be seeing a lot more of both these technologies as our reliance on mobile goes to the level of dependence beyond addiction.

And as China Mobile are observing the next big challenge is the ‘ABC’ of mobile – Always Be Charging.

 

Gigatown turns into a Giga challenge for Chorus

One more post before bedtime, now that I’m back in the temporary VDSL equipped TUANZ cave in #gigatownporirua.

I’ve had a flight back from Auckland, (cut off from my feed to the internets) to think about what Ultra Fast Fibre’s declaration of their central North Island patch as the ‘Giganet’ means for Chorus.

And what it means for us as users and how I think its the most exciting thing to happen in the UFB world since Northpower finished their build.

In military terms this has been a brilliant piece of asymmetric warfare, a judo throw that Vladimir Putin would be proud to call his own.

Chorus will now be compelled to re-evaluate the entire gigatown proposition because its just had a whole lot of the gloss removed:

1.   The winning gigatown no longer enjoys the advantage of the ‘Southern Hemispheres’ fastest internet.

2.   The 3 year stint as the gigatown is also meaningless as UFF have declared that its package will run until 2020 – which is the big bang year anyway in terms of UFB evolution

3.   The winning gigatown will have the cheapest wholesale, residential gigabit service but that may not translate into much of an advantage in what will be a much broader residential gigabit market.

4.   The winning gigatown will still enjoy the Alcatel Lucent innovation fund, but the economic development benefit is seriously diluted.

I think there will be quite a lot of angst out there in the gigatowns tomorrow (disclaimer I am part of the #gigatownporirua team) because the competition has required a lot of energy and commitment from largely volunteer teams (think Top Town meets social media). The competition and rivalry is fierce and intense, the creativity that has been unleashed is inspirational and overall it has got us all thinking about what the UFB can mean for our communities.

So what can Chorus do?

The options as I see them are:

1.   Box on like nothing’s happened

2.  Use the ‘Team Oracle USA’ like clauses in the gigatown T&C’s to pause and look for a reset

3.  Match UFF and declare everybody a ‘GIGATOWN’ (my preferred option)

I think Chorus owe it to all the towns who have played the game by their rules and who have sunk what I think must be millions of dollars worth of community time and energy into gigatown to show that they are serious about our giganation.

So whats in it for us as users, this is the stuff that rocks

1.   RSP’s now have the incentive to get really creative with UFB products, speed is no longer a limitation!

2.   The developer community can now start to build ‘gigabit grade’ products and services with a good sized local sandpit (even bigger if Chorus come to the party)

3.   UFB consumers will get world class connectivity

4.   The rest of the stack (backhaul and international) will get an increased incentive to open the pipes so we really will get genuine gigabit grade experiences

5.   There are going to be huge possibilities in education and health

6.   This will speed up the copper transition and force all the RSP’s to get serious about UFB

7.   The market for fast WiFi is going to go nuts!

8.   Aussies are going to be sooo jealous 

9.   The Government might feel so good about the giganet they’ll get behind other good ideas like Northpower’s rural fibre plans

10.  The belt of towns from New Plymouth to Tauranga is hugely important to all our current export industries and it is home to our mighty ‘Agritech’ sector (think Gallaghers etc)  – which I believe is our best shot for a global ICT niche we can own. So the Giganet is really, really important to our collective future.

I’ve been involved in the fibre dream in NZ since 1999, when I first got a CityLink connection in downtown Wellington, I helped get regional fibre extended across Nelson, Marlborough, Tasman with NMi and the Broadband Challenge.

But this development today has got me more excited as it moves us from a rationed future (just one gigatown) to one that is brim full of possibilities (a whole giganation?) because the UFB is now really going to be Ultra Fast.

I think I need a lie down now, I hope I don’t wake up tomorrow and find it was all a dream.

 

iHomes, iHealth and I’m new at this…

Gidday – for those who don’t know me I’m Chris O’Connell and I’ll be the voice of TUANZ for the next 4 months until Craig Young begins the role. (It says I’m Paul because I’m coming to grips with our CMS!)

I’ve been around TUANZ for quite a while, I started out judging the TUANZ interactive awards and ended up on the board mainly looking after our policy work, but I’ve also had a stint as the chair.

So TUANZ is now coming to you over Snap VDSL from Whitby in #gigatownporirua!

For the last few years I’ve been in the habit of getting up early on or around this date to watch the keynote address at Apple’s annual developer conference the WWDC, normally I’ve been doing this for 2 reason’s the first is that I am an unreconstructed fanboy (I’m so old I date back to using original Mac’s in the Otago University economics department in the early 80’s!) and the second reason is that Apple has always helped my digital trendspotting by being an awesome bellwether on the things that real do make a difference.

This year I have the added incentive of seeing how this all translates into the telecommunications space here in NZ.

And I see Apple endorsing 3 bigs trend in the years ahead:

The first is with their announcement of more features for their ‘message’ and ‘iMessage’ the commodification of voice telephony and text messaging continues with calling and texting via iPhones now integrated into the Mac OS, so it won’t be long before we see the same from Google (probably via the Chrome browser) and Microsoft (Skype everywhere?).

The next big announcement gives the ‘internet of things’ a boost with the release of ‘Homekit’ a series of tools for ‘Smarthome’ developers and applications to integrate on iOS devices and offer us the possibility of Jetson’s style living in the 21st century.

And finally the release of the much rumoured ‘Healthbook’ app and accompanying ‘Healthkit’ development environment. A few years ago Wired magazine coined the term ‘self quantifiers’ to describe those who capture data about themselves, analyse it and use it as the basis for many forms of self improvement. 

This has already gone from wacky, to leading edge and is heading for mainstream. And for me personally recent events have got me on board! I’ve recently become an Insulin Dependent Diabetic! this means I now test my blood sugar frequently, manage insulin injections and have embarked on a new fitness and nutrition regime. So I started looking for apps to help and there are plenty (I use Glooko for blood glucose tracking, Map my fitness for training and some specialised apps to help me with my 2015 half marathon goal) and the truth is that the data does become a little addictive!

Where today’s announcements fit in is that these apps will acquire the ability to talk to each other and the new ‘Healthbook’ will become my personal dashboard – its all a bit scary and yes I can see a dark side (several in fact, privacy, security and data integrity spring to mind) but there is a huge upside for people wanting to lead long healthy lives.

I can give my clinicians and trainers access to relevant data and can tune my programs as my needs change.

This brings up one final current interest of mine and that is the emerging world of low power sensors and programmable switches, servo’s and actuators that will bring all my 60’s era childhood fantasies of the future into affordable reality!

I’m looking forward to telling Siri to turn the lights on (or off!) mow the lawn and vacuum the house!

The other big number to reflect on is that there are now over 800 million iOS devices in pockets, bags and drawers all over the world!

And we can be certain that Google and Microsoft will follow suit with similar announcements.

Isn’t the best time ever to be using all this stuff?

Cellphones will not give you cancer

Originally published in the New Zealand Herald

 

Cellphones do not give you cancer.

There, I said it.

No equivocation, no weasel words, no pussyfooting around the subject.

There is no link between using cellphones or living near cellphone towers and cancers of any kind.

The World Health Organisation has recently concluded the biggest study of its kind ever undertaken – the INTERPHONE Study – which looked at research from dozens of smaller studies around the world. Thousands of cellphone users took part and the upshot is: we cannot find any trace of a link between cellphone use and cancers, but we’ll keep looking.

The UK government has been studying the same question for the past 11 years. Its Mobile Telecommunications and Health Research (MTHR) study concluded there was no connection at all between cellphones and cancer, and has closed down the research unit.

As MTHR’s chairman said: “This independent programme is complete, and despite exhaustive research, we have found no evidence of risks to health from the radio waves produced by mobile phones or their base stations.

Thanks to the research conducted within the programme, we can now be much more confident about the safety of modern telecommunications systems.”

Which should reassure those of us who use cellphones regularly or whose children will grow up in a world where cellular communication is the norm.

So why were we so concerned in the first place? I think it’s the term “radiation” and those connotations of death rays, microwaves, x-rays and the like. The word conjures up images of creeping death, of nuclear devastation, of The Hulk rampaging across a benign world. It’s scary and, in this case, quite misleading.

A better word for how cellphones operate is “radio”. That’s all it is. It’s a radio, much like a walkie-talkie or the alarm clock radio beside your bed or the one in your car. It sends and receives radio waves and that’s something we’ve been studying for nearly 100 years, since the radio was first invented.

In that time, the incidence of brain tumours and cancers has remained flat. Surely we would have seen some kind of increase, some kind of relationship between the two if radios caused cancer?

During that 100 years, we’ve also seen television burst on to the scene. Television also uses radio waves to transmit the signal, yet even with both radio and television in our homes the incidence of brain cancers and tumours remains flat.

The past 10 years have seen the use of cellphones skyrocket. No longer a yuppie toy, now it seems everyone has one. The incidence of brain cancers and tumours must surely have moved, given how close to our heads we hold these things? But no, there is no variation – brain cancers and tumour rates remain flat, unaffected by the increase in usage.

Today, roughly five billion people around the world use cellphones. Surely, if there were any link at all between cellphones and cancer, we would have seen a rise in the incidence of such things, but we haven’t.

For a long time I was happy to say research should continue because we just don’t know enough, but now I think we do. We know that despite thousands of studies, millions of hours of use and billions of users all holding these radios up to the sides of their heads, the incidence of brain tumours has not risen.

It’s time to put these worries aside. There are plenty of things that are out there to occupy our researchers and I’d rather they were studying those than trying to find a link that isn’t there.

If you want to know more about how cellphones work, I recommend the www.emfexplained.info website.

Vox Pop

I was involved in a highly enjoyable discussion on Twitter yesterday after someone asked what the ideal population for New Zealand would be.

This has been a bugbear of mine for several years now, so quick as a flash I came back with “Twenty million”.

I think New Zealand faces something of a dilemma. We have one city, a handful of towns and villages and lots of open space. This makes us the ideal place to film the next outdoor/wilderness epic but a poor place to meet people. Building those networks that build the future economic power houses is going to be difficult if we’re scattered around the place, as countless studies of incubators, hubs and entrepreneurialism have shown.

In addition, the cost of providing infrastructure is high because we have so few people to pay for it. I’m constantly amazed that we have two national networks covering 97% of the population with 3G service. That we’re on our way to having three is astonishing because the money sunk into providing service to four million people would equally provide service (and revenue commensurate with that service) to ten million in central London or Hong Kong or just about anywhere else.

Infrastructure costs a lot of money and for that you need a government willing to support it and a large enough tax base to provide cash to build it. We simply struggle on that score because of our population size.

Great Britain is about the same size as New Zealand geographically, yet has 60 million people. Japan, not too dissimilar in terms of useable landmass and there the population exceeds 120 million. Four million Kiwis simply doesn’t give us the country we want.

After the shock/horror of having MORE PEOPLE died down, someone quickly pointed out the inevitable problem: they’ll all move to Auckland.

He’s quite right. If we simply carry on doing what we are today, Auckland will continue to grow like topsy, creating a two-tier country of Us versus Them in everything from government spend, house prices and business location. Today you move to Auckland because you have to be in Auckland.

I’m suggesting tomorrow might be quite different.

I moved up from Hamilton nearly 20 years ago and I moved for work. I had to be in Auckland to sit at a computer and type words onto a screen. Today, that job could be done from anywhere in New Zealand or indeed the world (hello, outsourcing) but it’s still done in an expensive office block in the central city.

Twenty years from now when my children are well engaged with the workforce, I would hope they’d be able to conduct a similar role from wherever they chose to be. Hamilton, Wellington, Dunedin even. What about Clevedon? What about Warkworth or Cambridge or Coromandel?

The fundamental reason for moving to the city – to get that job and be at your desk – is gone. In fact, the pressure is building to go the other way. Why open an office in central Auckland with expensive rent, competition for staff driving up wages, mortgage rates that are insane and drive up wages even more and all the hassles of traffic and lousy public transport, when you can open the same office in Whangarei or Napier or Nelson and have a good quality of life, with good access to the world via broadband.

You’ll remember we brought Dr Tim Williams to New Zealand a couple of years ago. His white paper, Connecting Communities, remains my touchstone for such regional and rural regeneration programmes. In Tim’s world, broadband enables companies to work smarter and make the most of our greatest asset – the people of New Zealand. I think it’s high time we saw regional development given this kind of priority because we need more people, we need more infrastructure and we need those people to live throughout the country, not clustered in one city that gobbles up the resources while everyone else gets leftovers.

Twenty million might be a bit steep, but imagine a New Zealand with 10 million. Wellington, Hamilton and Dunedin each with a  population over the million mark, but carefully managed. New towns and cities springing up to serve the main centres, built on quality infrastructure lines. Intercity trains, broadband for all.

It could be your worst nightmare, but if we do it well, do it with a will to succeed, it could be the making of our future here in New Zealand.

The S-Curve

Sales conferences have their J-shaped hockey stick graphs, but in ICT, uptake conversations turn to the S-curve.

And rightly so – the early days of any tech are generally best informed by the phrase “nobody cares” shortly followed by “nobody saw this coming” and the geeks among us smile smugly, assuming they got it right in the first place.

Currently there’s much angst about uptake on fibre because, apparently, it’s a white elephant and nobody really wants it anyway.

I am smiling smugly, content in the knowledge that we loiter at the end of the first curve and are starting to see uptake ramp towards that “overnight success” leg of the journey.

Chorus’ annual briefing to analysts seems to back me up on this.

Page 52 has a lovely chart that shows premises passed by region, with uptake rates for each region.

Auckland has the highest uptake, according to Chorus, with 8.5% of customers who can get fibre actually signing on for it. In Auckland, Chorus has completed only 20% of the build, but clearly it’s this kind of market that the main ISPs are focusing their marketing efforts on. Blenheim, by way of contrast, has 90% of its build already completed, but uptake is a woeful 5%.

Clearly, demand for services is driven by retail partners promoting and selling the product. Sadly, in the outlying areas where service is available, the larger RSPs aren’t yet offering the product, presumably because of the cost of back office connectivity with the local fibre companies (LFCs).

On top of that, ISPs only sell their products and services. They don’t not do a pre-sales “this is why you want fibre” service and sadly, as we’ve discussed before, the LFCs, Chorus and the government all point the finger elsewhere whenever I raise the matter.

Someone needs to be out there selling potential customers on the benefit. Nobody is currently doing that job and without it, uptake will continue to languish. We need to get the country as a whole moving up that S-curve before some nervous politician decides to make mileage out of ditching the whole thing altogether.

The benefits are easily expressed for anyone with half an interest in the matter. For home users you get access to the world of online content. You can have your kids doing their homework while you watch TV or save your photo gallery to the cloud. The home of the future is here today and already I’m backing up a dozen devices on a regular basis. Woe betide the family that doesn’t have UFB when that list of devices includes the fridge, the car and the burglar alarm.

For SME business, the benefits are absolutely astonishing. You can catch up with your slow, clumsy corporate competitors simply and cheaply without having a huge capex outlay. You don’t need to buy servers and hardware, all you need is a browser and a fast internet connection and you too can have an ERP system, a customer relationship management system, state of the art live accounting processes that connect your customers with your suppliers and which take all the drudgery out of doing the chores each night in the form of paperwork. You can free up your time to do the job you love enough to go into business for yourself and you don’t need a fortune to do it.

These are easy wins. Health, education, government interaction, entertainment, economic gains… these are just the things I can think of right now, off the top of my head. Once you’re connected, the world is your oyster, make no mistake.

The country needs to move up that S-curve and someone needs to drive this to make sure it happens.  Chorus and the LFCs say it’s not their job. The RSPs will spend lots of money promoting their own schemes. The government is the only one that has a vested interest in uptake and a need to see this project become the success we all know it can become.

If they can spend $14m of public money telling everyone to buy a new TV set, surely we can find something to promote the benefits of the UFB?

Guest Post: Another loss for Fortress Google

Michael Wigley is one of the tech-industry’s leading legal lights and has worked with TUANZ on any number of issues over the years. Here’s his view on the Google/EU privacy debate, cross posted with permission from Wigley+Company’s newsletter.

Google’s “Do no evil” mantra is being challenged ever more. It’s no surprise Google is increasingly on the losing end of court and regulatory action as it exercises its market power. Despite Google’s protestations that Europe has overstepped the mark last week, in an EU court decision requiring Google to remove certain personal information under data protection legislation, the European approach is sensible and forces Google to do what it and others should be doing anyway.

This is far from chilling freedom of speech. We summarise the European decision and show why it makes sense, and we suggest what might happen in New Zealand.  First though we talk about regulatory risk for those in a dominant position. Google gives the impression of adopting a siege approach in circumstances where increased regulatory focus is inevitable. For a time, that can work for firms with substantial market power. But often the better strategy is to proactively fend off regulatory intervention by doing more things in, and that appear to be in, consumers’ and competitors’ interests.

Google – siege or rapprochement?

Google Inc has a corporate structure that makes it difficult to be sued, with carefully set up separate subsidiary companies in countries, and difficult communication channels, as we’ve seen from our clients’ experiences. And it has continued to expand its commercial dominance by its strategies.

This can work well initially for those in dominant positions. It can be difficult to trim back dominant firms. But there comes a time when such an approach bounces back on dominant firms, and regulators and other stakeholders step in assertively, as is now happening to Google across a range of fronts.

 Google win is little comfort for Google, media and content carriers

Google’s competition law exposure shows how the decision making on what a dominant firm should do can be hard. The US regulator decided not to sue Google for abuse of dominant position.

But the European regulator would have none of that and it appears that it would sue, unless Google did a deal pulling back from particular dominant positions. In February 2014, the EU announced that it would proceed down the path of agreeing concessions by Google by way of commitments made by Google. What would have been the best strategic and tactical approach for Google? To push ever harder into dominance or to take some voluntary steps to pull back (possibly steps that have the look and feel of pulling back but don’t have much adverse impact on Google).

Hard calls, often made, we think, by firms which do not see the bigger picture as part of that myopic siege mentality that happens in dominant firms. For all we know, Google might have its balance for its internal purposes about right.

Another loss for fortress Google

We don’t know the full story. But one of the big internal challenges for dominant firms is to make the decisions having regard to the broader picture and the risks. Difficult to do from within the fortress.

The privacy case that Google has lost

In 1998, a newspaper had published details of a debt collection process against a Spanish man.

12 years later, he sought a direction that Google take down the link to the page in the newspaper. Google refused, and the Spanish courts asked the European Court of Justice to decide how the EU data protection directive should apply.

That court decided, that, even though the Google search engine only collects and indexes web site-sourced information, it is still “processing…  personal data” and so the directive applies.

US based Google Inc runs the search engine, not local Google subsidiaries such as Google Spain. Google argued it was outside the coverage of the EU directive as it was based outside Europe.

Google Inc was seeking to take advantage of its careful delineation between search engine services (Google Inc’s services) and local Google companies.

The Court didn’t accept that; based on the wording of the directive, the court was able to  say that Google Spain, in taking ads in Spain with those ending up on the Google search pages, was enough to constitute Google Spain as part of Google Inc for these purposes. To decide otherwise would have been contrary to the context and purpose of the directive.

The next issue for the court was what Google must do when someone requests that personal information is removed from the Google search results. The court said that this should be decided based on a fair balance between:

·         The legitimate interests of internet users in having access to the information; and

·         The person’s fundamental rights such as in relation to privacy and the protection of personal data.

As a general rule, said the court, the individual’s own rights override the interests of internet users. But this depends on the nature and sensitivity of the information, and the public’s interest (which is an interest that may vary according to the role played by the individual in public life). Notably, the court said that Google’s commercial interests alone do not justify interference with the individual’s data protection and privacy rights.

While information can, initially, legitimately be on the Google search results, over time, some information should no longer be there, said the court. It could have become inadequate, irrelevant, or excessive given the original purpose and the time that has elapsed. On request by the individual, Google must consider removing the information, by weighing up the position, having regard to factors such as whether the individual is prominent in public life (where it is less likely the information must be removed). If Google doesn’t remove the material, the regulating bodies can do so.

All that seems to be a sensible balance between competing rights. This is very far removed from a chilling effect on freedom of speech. Google’s arguments to that effect do not pass muster and privacy rights substantially outweigh those interests. In this case, for example, the information was 12 years old. Google not seeing that having such old information removed as reasonable is concerning and does not show sufficient regard for others. What if a Google search of your  name revealed debt recovery information about you 12 years ago, even though you have asked for it to be removed? Fair and appropriate?

The final decision on this particular information is to be made by the Spanish courts but the big decision is that of the European Court of Justice. Google must now have systems to deal with requests. So must other providers.

What might happen in NZ?

The EU judgment was heavily dependent on interpretation of specific words in legislation, although context was key. The NZ regime derives also from OECD guidelines and the context is similar. The principles in our Act are capable of being applied in similar ways, save as to the international application of the Act.

It might also be argued that Google (and other website operators) have a proactive obligation to remove information past a use-by date: information that is no longer necessary to be retained for the purposes it was collected. That would extend beyond removal only on request. It may well be that news media exceptions will not be applicable to much of this information.

There are complexities and facts specific to each case so we don’t venture complete views.

How the Act and other privacy and confidentiality law applies to offshore companies raises its own set of issues. For example, s 4(3) of the Privacy Act might apply. Where information is held by a company “for the sole purpose of processing the information on behalf of another agency…. the information shall be deemed to be held by the agency on whose behalf that information ….is so processed.”

Companies like Google typically use caches and content distribution network services in NZ, often contracted out to companies like Akamai. If Google is doing something like this, that might overcome Google Inc’s careful separation away from NZ and its NZ related company, Google NZ. Google Inc might have to comply by this or other means. But that requires more detail. 

We have always been at war with Eastasia

The EU has told Google it must delete “inadequate, irrelevant or no longer relevant” data on request from individuals. The journalist in me just turned over in his grave.

Google, of course, doesn’t actually store this information – it simply finds it and makes it easy for others to find. Telling Google to screen results in this way is similar to asking the Post Office to make sure nobody sends me pictures of something I don’t like.

But assuming Google can tweak its algorithms to do this, or more likely hire staff whose sole job is to vet information upon request to remove links to such things, I would question why we would want it and whether Google is the right company to ask this of.

Let’s assume you, like me, did something silly back when you were a teen. I’m lucky – cameras weren’t invented back then, let alone digital cameras, let alone the internet, let alone… I’m one of the safe ones. My youthful stupidity can remain firmly in the past, and I wouldn’t be happy if it was dragged up today.

What if, instead of youthful exuberance, my past data is actually about that time I committed fraud, or ran a company into bankruptcy? It might be decades ago but next year, when I run for President of the World, that will be relevant, surely? Will Google be required to keep the forbidden data in case circumstances change?

And who gets to decide whether that information is “inadequate, irrelevant or no longer relevant”? Google shouldn’t – it’s not an editorial control agent, it’s a bunch of geeks who are very good at maths. It’s also a company hell bent on making money – does this same ruling apply to Bing? Making Google arbiter of your privacy is odd, to put it mildly.

Unfortunately, we do live in an age where all such things can be captured electronically and stored for decades to come. Fortunately, we also live in an age where all such things can be captured electronically and stored for decades to come. Big data is here, and we have to live with it, but telling Google to selectively forget some things displays a shocking lack of awareness about how the internet works, how privacy works and how the ability to research an issue shouldn’t be hampered by today’s moral codes.

Fishhooks

The Commerce Commission’s monitoring report is a tale of two halves.

On the one hand, you have a highly competitive market with prices well below the OECD average and fierce competition. Customers are being offered more for less and new offerings come to the market regularly.

Customers can buy data, voice, TXT, they can go on prepay plans or on account and they’re loving it.

The other market consists of prices up to 190% of the OECD average, limited market energy, little or no competitive pressure and a distinct lack of creativity.

The reason for the difference is clear – 2Degrees.

The first market is the low-end prepay and on account segment where 2Degrees has vigorously burst onto the scene only a handful of years ago. The third entrant has radically changed the dynamic and the other two network incumbents have been forced to respond in kind.

Suddenly we see bundles on offer at $19/month that only months earlier had sold for $70/month. The drop in price has been matched by an increase in value – customers get more TXTs, more minutes, can call more friends and family members in more calling groups and have more data to use on their shiny new smartphones than ever before.

Since it arrived, 2Degrees has fought well in this market and achieved a great deal. It’s customer numbers have long since passed the million user mark and are still rising. It’s very successful, so long as your measure of success doesn’t include “breaking even” because clearly the cost of spending on network deployment (and the impending launch of 4G as well) is not a trivial matter. It will be quite some time before 2Degrees is in the black.

The other market, however, is failing to deliver on that promise. High end business and corporate plans, and larger on account offerings, simply aren’t seeing the same level of movement to 2Degrees and I’m wondering why.

It’s not as though the plans on offer don’t appeal to business or high end customers. The same price points are attractive across the board, and while business customers care less about the costs associated with the service, the CFO certainly does and typically buying decisions are made at that level.

So why is it that 2Degrees isn’t carving the same level of fat out of this market?

I suspect it’s a combination of factors, not least of which is the speed with which customers can disentangle themselves from their contracts.

Prepay customers are free to move quickly and easily between providers. On account customers face many barriers to switching, not least of which is the ever present “early termination fee”, which is often applied even if you’re moving within the same provider to a better suited plan.

These fishhooks mean there is a lag in movement for on account customers. Instead of simply picking up and shifting to a new provider, OA customers must wait until a certain time period has passed, or until they’ve paid off their new “free” handsets (which of course are never free but rather “$0 up front” and which must be paid in full before customers are allowed to move on).

Early termination charges often include an extra fishhook – rather than simply repaying the cost of the device, they attempt to recoup the worth of that contract to the provider. Sign up for two or more years and you’ll find your “worth” is quite a bit and if you want to get away early, the break fee can be quite astonishing.

I think it’s high time we called these zero dollar handset subsidies what they really are: hire purchase agreements. You get to take the phone home with you, but you’re tied to a provider for years and end up paying more for the service than you should.

It’s time, I think, that the Commerce Commission had a closer look at all of this, and I’d go a step further and call on the government’s inquiry into the Telecommunications Act to consider the issue as well.

The numbers are clear for anyone to see – something’s stopping on account customers from migrating to 2Degrees and it’s not the price point.